Moody’s for carbon

Which carbon credits are real?

CarbonDecode rates every project in the voluntary carbon market on a transparent, audit-ready integrity scale, then reads the documents, the news, and the satellites to back the rating up.

12,040 projects rated · 78.5% investment-grade

A carbon credit is a claim, not a commodity.

Two credits with the same registry stamp can sit far apart on integrity. Most of the market clears a defensible floor; very little of it rates as excellent, and a tail of large, low-rated projects carries a disproportionate share of issued credits.

Buyers, brokers, auditors, and (under the EU’s Empowering Consumers Directive) marketers now need defensible, auditable evidence that a credit represents a real tonne. CarbonDecode is that evidence: a rating you can defend line-by-line, plus the primary documents, news, and Earth-observation behind it.

By the numbers · live
Projects rated
12,040
across 6 registries
Mean integrity
62
composite, 0–100
Investment grade
78.5%
rated BBB or higher
Critical flags
30
default-equivalent

Distribution of ratings

A
BBB
BB
CC
New · Research · 5 reports

Show Your Work

We went looking for the paperwork behind the market's biggest projects. Correction: the headline availability figure has been withdrawn; our automated search could not see the registries' own document records. The method, the correction and the re-run are set out here.

One rating.
Four kinds of evidence.

Ratings

CCP-aligned integrity score

A 0–100 composite and AAA–D grade across six CCP dimensions. Every point traces to a documented rule, defensible.

Intelligence

AI analyst, cited

Live research surfaces controversies, registry holds, and ratings-agency downgrades, each with a dated source.

Documents

Reads the project documents

Pulls the project's design, monitoring and verification documents from the registry record where available, reads them, and tests the additionality argument and baseline against the methodology.

Earth obs.

Satellite & MRV review

Forest-loss reversals and emissions anomalies from open satellite data for the project area.

Portfolio

Monitor your holdings

Save or upload a portfolio of credits and get an exposure-weighted risk view, what’s below grade, what carries critical flags.

Integrations

Data API + MCP

Query data programmatically, or plug it straight into Claude and ChatGPT via the Model Context Protocol.

Lowest-rated at scale

Size is not a quality signal.

The largest projects by issuance that currently score below investment grade on our rubric, from public registry data alone.

See all 12,040 projects →
GradeScoreProjectIssued
C19Merit Energy Geo-Seq
Carbon Capture & Enhanced Oil Recovery · United States
7.3M
C19North Country LFG
Landfill Methane · United States
1.6M
C19Cumberland Forest Highlands IFM
Improved Forest Management · United States
3.2M
C19White Mountain Apache Tribe Forest Carbon Project II
Improved Forest Management · United States
6.0M
C19Finite Carbon - Passamaquoddy Tribe IFM
Improved Forest Management · United States
4.2M
C19Forest Carbon Partners - Mescalero Apache Tribe Improved Forest Management Project
Improved Forest Management · United States
3.9M

Rate with conviction.

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